The Big Picture

Now I'm going to try to look at the big picture. In what direction is this world developing?

Migration is likely to have the greatest impact. Masses of people from developing countries are coming to industrialized nations. This is because, although living conditions in their home countries have improved in recent decades, they still do not meet local standards. In addition, there are conflicts in their home countries, some of which are violent. The effect is a change in the composition of the population, accompanied by a decline in the birth rate among the native population. Effectively, white Europeans will be only a very small minority worldwide in the future. It is questionable whether the standard of living in Western countries will be able to be maintained in the face of this demographic change, because immigrants often do not have the necessary cognitive abilities to learn and practice demanding professions. This raises the question of whether, for example, the US will simply develop into another Latin American country.

Another key issue is the imperialist policies of authoritarian states such as Russia and China. These challenge the globalism of the West. China already has more influence than America and Europe in parts of Africa and Asia. The world will once again split into blocs.

Finally, climate change raises the question of whether our lifestyle can be sustained at all. We must not forget that resources are running out. We are consuming more than we are rebuilding. This cannot continue in the long term.

However, technological innovations, especially artificial intelligence, could bring about a change in that cognitive abilities will become less important in professional life. Other skills will become more important instead. Ultimately, this will also have an impact on the composition of the population. Future generations may be less intelligent, but they will be stronger.

Translated with DeepL.com (free version)